Game Recap: PC at Marquette 1/30/14 #pcbb

That was one of the most frustrating first halfs of basketball I’ve ever watched. 14 points is the worst half output since 2/5/02 when PC only put up 11 points in a half against UConn. It took PC nearly 13 minutes to reach double figures. The Friars also shot just 18% in the first half. As ugly as PC played, Marquette wasn’t exactly playing like a well oiled machine and as PC went on a 13-0 run in the 2nd half to get within 6, I remember looking up and realizing that Marquette had only scored 6 points in the first 9 minutes and change of the 2nd half. But PC just couldn’t get over the hump and come all the way back. The closest they would get was within 3 with 11:37 to go after Henton converted a 3 point play on an And 1. KMac did nail it though. https://twitter.com/KevinMcNamara33/status/429061973620178944   All around, no one on the Providence team played well tonight. Cotton scored 20 but had 5 turnovers and seemed to be rushing at times and also a bit out of control. He was not the only one as Harris only scored 3 points and had 5 turnovers against 0 assists. Henton scored 16 2nd half points after going scoreless in the 1st half. Batts looked out of sync all night. He was also on the ground a lot tonight and seemed very frustrated. This brings me to my next point – what the F were the refs looking at all night? This game had the feel of an old school Big East game where the players were allowed to commit 2nd degree assault on the court without hearing a whistle. It was that way on both ends of the court but it’s very frustrating when the emphasis all year has been on handchecking and allowing the offensive players to move freely with the ball and then you throw a wrench in things and allow the players to be all over each other and not even consider calling a foul. This is a different game if the refs are calling all the bumping and handchecking. One of the concerns I mentioned in my preview was that PC has struggled to shoot on the road and that they couldn’t afford to get down big early like they did at Villanova. Unfortunately that played out tonight and it wasn’t fun to watch. Additionally, PC had their worst free throw shooting game of the season going 10/17 (58%) including a rough 2/6 from Kadeem Batts. I was shocked to see that PC actually won the rebounding battle (40-37) because it seemed like Marquette was killing them on the glass in the 2nd half when PC was playing zone. All in all, the stats in the boxscore are pretty ugly for both teams but Marquette managed to fend off the PC run and do enough to pull out the win at home. PC really needs to rebound on Saturday at DePaul to split this road trip before returning to the Dunk on Tuesday to take on St. John’s who will be coming off a game against these Marquette Golden Eagles at Madison Square Garden on Saturday.

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Game Notes & Preview: PC @ Marquette 1/30/14

Where: BMO Harris Bradley Center – Milwaukee, WI

When: 7:00pm

How: Fox Sports 1/WEEI 103.7 FM

Game Notes

  • PC is 4-12 all time against Marquette and has lost 10 of their 11 matchups as members of the Big East
  • Marquette has now played in 3 straight OT games after not playing any extra basketball in their first 17 games. They are 1-2 in those 3 contests
  • Todd Mayo has been stepping up his scoring of late and he’s been doing it in clutch situations. Of the 28 points he has scored in Marquette’s last 3 games, 17 have come in the final minute of regulation or overtime
  • Providence is looking for their 6th straight conference win for the first time since the 2003-2004 season. 6 is also the current record for longest Big East win streak in PC history
  • Line opened at PC +5.5

Game Preview

Based on my numbers this game should be a pick ’em but my numbers don’t take into account home court advantage, etc. The line has since moved down a bit to 4.5 or 5 depending on where you look but about 2/3 of the money is coming in on the Friars from what I’ve seen.

It’s been well documented and discussed during the 4 day layoff between games that PC has struggled against Marquette over the years, especially in Milwaukee. The Friars last win against Marquette came in January 2007 at the Dunk. PC hasn’t won at Marquette – ever. This is a Friar team that is focused and playing their game right now though. Marquette is a team that has been very up and down all year and has gotten inconsistent production from just about everyone on their roster. Some of their fans see this season as a lost year and think Buzz Williams should be focusing on the future already.

PC has only played 4 road games this year and has split the contest 2-2. The Friar’s biggest issue on the road has been their shooting. Granted their shooting hasn’t been all that spectacular at the Dunk either but they cannot afford to get into an early hole a la @ Villanova. They enter tonight’s game with an eFG% of 46.9 which is good for 282nd in the nation according to Kenpom. Not surprisingly, PC’s offense has had better efficiency numbers in their road wins than their road losses but a lot of the other stats don’t really present any patterns. Maybe that’s because of the small sample size or maybe it’s because this team hadn’t established their identity until recently.

The key to the game will be for Providence to play their game (duh). Cotton and Batts should continue to work the pick and roll and they should be getting into the lane and looking to score in the paint or get fouled (or both, preferably). Fortune will have to shut down Todd Mayo who has played pretty well at home this season. I think the X factor for tonight’s game will be Tyler Harris. He can provide another scoring threat for PC who may need that “other” person to step up and help out Cotton and Henton/Batts if those guys get off to a slow start and he may present some matchup problems/force Marquette to adjust their lineups. I think Henton will continue his strong rebounding numbers from Saturday when he registered his 22nd career double double (only 2nd of this season). This will likely be a grind it out game (Marquette is ranked as the best scoring defense in the Big East at 65.5 ppg) that is won on the glass and at the free throw line. That favors Providence.

Prediction: Providence 62 Marquette 60

#pcbb Bracketology Update 1/30/14

  • Heading into tonight’s matchup against the Marquette Golden Eagles, Joe Lunardi’s latest bracket release today has PC as a 10 seed in the South region playing Texas. He has also moved them from “Last Four In” to “Last Four Byes”.
  • BracketMatrix.com is showing PC in 64 brackets out of 67 possible brackets with an average seed of 11. Last week they were only in 57 brackets with an average seed of 12. The latest update on this is 1/29/14 7:29pm.
  • PC’s RPI is 43 according to RPIforecast.com’s Live RPI

http://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/bracketology/team-comparison/PROV/undefined

STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE AND RPI
HOME AWAY NEUTRAL SOS SOS RANK RPI RPI RANK
All Division I games (15-5) 11-1 2-2 2-2 0.5603 60 0.5983 42
Conference games (5-2) 4-1 1-1 0-0 0.6383 42 0.6425 21
Non-conference D-I games (10-3) 7-0 1-1 2-2 0.5067 162 0.5663 71
RECORD VS. TEAMS RANKED 1-50 (2-3)
WINS
RANK DATE SITE OPPONENT SCORE
11
Jan. 18
Home
Creighton
81-68
37
Jan. 25
Home
Xavier
81-72
LOSSES
RANK DATE SITE OPPONENT SCORE
3
Jan. 5
Away
Villanova
91-61
8
Dec. 28
Away
UMass
69-67
14
Dec. 1
Neutral
Kentucky
79-65
RECORD VS. TEAMS RANKED 51-100 (5-1)
WINS
RANK DATE SITE OPPONENT SCORE
71
Jan. 8
Home
Georgetown
70-52
74
Nov. 24
Neutral
La Salle
71-63
75
Jan. 16
Away
St. John’s
84-83
76
Nov. 22
Neutral
Vanderbilt
67-60
90
Jan. 21
Home
Butler
65-56
LOSSES
RANK DATE SITE OPPONENT SCORE
80
Nov. 25
Neutral
Maryland
56-52
RECORD VS. TEAMS RANKED 101-200 (3-1)
WINS
RANK DATE SITE OPPONENT SCORE
127
Nov. 18
Home
Vermont
70-49
133
Dec. 5
Away
Rhode Island
50-49
168
Nov. 8
Home
Boston College
82-78
LOSSES
RANK DATE SITE OPPONENT SCORE
139
Dec. 31
Home
Seton Hall
81-80
RECORD VS. TEAMS RANKED 201-PLUS (5-0)
WINS
RANK DATE SITE OPPONENT SCORE
206
Dec. 17
Home
Yale
76-74
239
Nov. 13
Home
Brown
73-69
260
Nov. 16
Home
Marist
93-48
288
Nov. 29
Home
Fairfield
78-69
325
Dec. 21
Home
Maine
94-70
LOSSES
RANK DATE SITE OPPONENT SCORE
No results

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